Tuesday, April 24, 2012

The Official Start Kyle Orton Draft Prognostication Bukakke

Good evening, folks. As I've mentioned, Thursday night at 7 PM we'll be shoutcasting the NFL draft, so I hope you'll stop by as we make fun of Berman or Deion Sanders (who live-tweeted domestic assault today by the way) depending on whether or not you're going to watch the ESPN or NFL Network coverage. Hopefully we'll all walk away happy with the Bears pick.

Anywho, for the first time in SKO history Iggins!, Mrs. Code Red, and I all put together mock drafts. The scoring system is as follows:

50 points for correctly guessing the Bears pick.
30 points for correctly guessing all three phases of any other pick (team/slot/player)
20 points for 2 of 3 (right team/right player/wrong slot or wrong team/right player/right slot etc.)
10 points for picking a player withing 5 spots of their correct slot.
10 points for picking the right position/right team but wrong player (i.e. the Colts take RGIII instead of Luck or whatever)

The points do not add up, you can only have the maximum amount of points possible for that slot, meaning if you get the Bears pick correct you don't get 50+30 etc, just 50 pts. This shit's confusing as it is without all of that math.

Now that I've explained that and it makes no sense to any of you onto the Mocks:


1.) Colts:
Code Red: Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford:RGIII may have more physical upside, by Luck is the best and most complete NFL-ready prospect in a decade.

Iggins!: Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford

Mrs. Code Red: Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford.

2.) Redskins (from Rams):
Code Red: RGIII, QB, Baylor: I think it's unfair to compare him to Cam Newton, but RGIII will be an outstanding NFL player if the Redskins support him and don't expect consistent brilliance from day one.

Iggins!: RGIII, QB, Baylor.

Mrs. Code Red: RGIII, QB, Baylor.

3.) Vikings
Code Red: Matt Kalil, OT, USC: I don't think the Vikings want Kalil, but someone will and I'd expect a trade-up for him. They've been advertising this slot.

Iggins!: Matt Kalil, OT, USC: No comment on these first three, they're no-brainers.

Mrs. Code Red: Matt Kalil, OT, USC

4) Browns
Code Red: Trent Richardson, RB, Alabama: The Browns seem legitimately willing to roll one more year with McCoy and take their chances at Barkley or Landry Jones next year, so they may as well get the best non-QB offensive player in the draft.


Iggins!: Trent Richardson, RB, Alabama: I actually think the Browns will try to trade this for value, most likely to the Bengals for their two first-rounders and maybe a 2nd rounder next year (let's be honest they need more than just one RB. Two years ago Hillis had a great season and they still blew) but if they do have this pick it would be madness not to take Richardson.

Mrs. Code Red: Trent Richardson, RB, Alabama.
5) Buccaneers
Code Red: Morris Claiborne, CB, LSU: Ronde Barber is nearly dead and Aqib Talib is 1) Overrated 2) Possibly going to jail. Claiborne is a better CB than Patrick Peterson was.

Iggins!:Morris Claiborne, CB, LSU: The Bucs can't give up on their youth movement on offense for another year, and they can't fix the whole thing in one draft, so I think they'll let the amazing underachieving foursome of Freeman, Blount, Williams, and Benn have one more shot at it. They need some serious help at CB, so this is the obvious choice.

Mrs. Code Red: Morris Claiborne, CB, LSU. (by the way, the Mrs. did not comment on any of her picks. She doesn't really know who any of these players are and just chose based on a quick glance at three or four mocks,  making it infinitely more amusing when she wins the whole damn thing).

6) Rams (from Redskins)
Code Red: Justin Blackmon, WR, OK State: They can't possibly pass up the best WR in the draft, can they?

Iggins!: Justin Blackmon, WR, OK State: If the rest of the draft falls this way, this has to be Blackmon. Bradford has no receivers. GOD DON'T BE THE TITANS AND FAIL TO DRAFT RECEIVERS FOR YOUR QB THEN BLAME HIM FOR BEING MEDIOCRE WHEN HIS #1 WR IS JUSTIN GAGE.

Code Red: Oh get over it. Vince Young was going to suck either way.

Mrs. Code Red: Justin Blackmon, WR, OK State.
7.)  Jaguars
Code Red: Melvin Ingram, DE, South Carolina: I think they should take Michael Floyd, but they've signed Laurent Robinson and Lee Evans, as though either of those moves will help. I think they go DE here.

Iggins!: Melvin Ingram, DE, South Carolina: This is the first real toss-up on the board. I think the Jags will try to give Gabbert support, so my logic is telling me the same team that drafted FREAKING BLAINE GABBERT will draft Michael Floyd here, but I want to believe the Jaguars will make the smart decision.

Mrs. Code Red: Melvin Ingram, DE, South Carolina

AND NOW IT GETS INTERESTING:

8.) Dolphins
Code Red: Ryan Tannehill, QB, Texas A&M: I've never been impressed with Tannehill. After all, Jerrod Johnson put up similar numbers before losing his job to Tannehill, but the Dolphins need someone they can appease their fans with.

Iggins!: Ryan Tannehill, QB, Texas A&M: This is pretty much the consensus pick at this spot. Too bad. Tannehill is not worth this pick.

Mrs. Code Red: Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame

9.) Panthers
Code Red: Fletcher Cox, DT, Mississippi State: The Panthers drafted two DTs last year, but neither played well last year and it would be foolish to rely on both. Cox is an animal.

Iggins!: Fletcher Cox, DT, Mississippi State: Apparently the combine-babyness of Dontari Poe has worn off and made Cox the number one DT in the draft. With Blackmon off the board the Panthers will either trade down or try to help Cam out by ensuring he doesn't have to score approximately one billion points a game. Cox would be a great start.

Mrs. Code Red: Dontari Poe, DT, Memphis.

10) Bills
Code Red: Riley Rieff, OT, Iowa: The Bills can't afford to pass on Rief after losing Demtress Bell.

Iggins!: Well, Buffalo doesn't exactly need a DE anymore, so the best available guy outside that position is Reiff. Being a Hawkeye fan I don't exactly understand the hype surrounding him. He was above average in college but not spectacular. On the other hand the guys with that designation that come out of Ferentz' house tend to have better careers than the guys who were highly touted. In any case, Buffalo needs line help to try and make this Fitzy thing work.

Mrs. Code Red: Riley Rieff, OT, Iowa
11) Chiefs
Code Red: Dontari Poe, DT, Memphis: Poe may be the best 3-4 nose tackle in this draft, a position where the Chiefs defense definitely need an upgrade

Iggins!:David DeCastro, OG, Stanford: On paper the Chiefs have more talent than most teams in the NFL. It's crazy how having a mediocre-to-bad QB can completely tank a season. The talk lately is the Chiefs will try to trade up for Tannehill, which I think would be a huge mistake. If they don't do that I think this is as sure a thing in this draft as there is. The Chief's biggest weakness is at guard, and people love this guy. If the Chiefs can just wait this season out and trade up for Barkley next year they'll be a damn good team.

Mrs. Code Red: Ryan Tannehill, QB, Texas A&M.
12) Seahawks
Code Red: Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame: Sidney Rice can't stay healthy and none of the other Seahawks wideouts are inspiring. I think Floyd goes here.

Iggins!:Luke Kuechly, LB, Boston College: The Seahawks need a lot of things, so they'll probably take the "Best Talent Available", which I hear is this guy with the hard-to-pronounce last name. The Seahawks might be the most interesting team to monitor this season, they have a lot of players who could still be good or bad (Flynn, Rice, Lynch). With those guys getting another chance to make it work, the good sense would be that the Seahawks will take defense.

Mrs. Code Red: Luke Kuechly, LB, Boston College

13) Cardinals
Code Red: Jonathan Martin, OT, Stanford: Martin's the number three tackle in this draft. Will that be enough for Arizona?

Iggins!:Dontari Poe, DT, Memphis: I keep seeing mock drafts where the Cardinals draft Michael Floyd. Why would they do that? The Cardinals have Fitzgerald and Doucet (who showed flashes of greatness last season, I mean, how much can a guy do with Kevin Kolb?) and had one of the worst defenses in the league last year. Poe is the best selection here.

Mrs. Code Red: Jonathan Martin, OT, Stanford.
14) Cowboys
Code Red: Mark Barron, S, Alabama: Mark Barron's not that great, but the Cowboys don't really have a safety worth starting, so they'll reach a little.

Iggins!:
Mark Barron, SS, Alabama: Well, all the sure-thing DEs are off the board. People have Upshaw going here, but he doesn't really fit into a need for the Cowboys. Barron seems like the logical choice.

Mrs Code Red: Mark Barron, SS, Alabama
 
15) Eagles
Code Red: Michael Brockers, DT, LSU: I had a linebacker in this spot, but with the ridiculously cheap acquisition of DeMeco Ryans I think they strengthen their run defense with another defensive tackle.

Iggins!: Michael Brockers, DT, LSU: The Eagles will take whichever DT falls to this spot. Slap the Texans for trading Demeco Ryans.

Mrs. Code Red: Fletcher Cox, DT, Mississippi State
16) Jets
Code Red: Courtney Upshaw, OLB, Alabama: Mirerez sucks. There's no point in the Jets trying once again to surround him with great talent, as that's failed before. Just load up on D with the pass-rushing OLB they've needed for years.

Iggins!: Courtney Upshaw, OLB, Alabama
Here's another pick where confusion reigns. Nobody seems to be agreeing on what the Jets will do here. I don't think they'll take Floyd, that would be a wasted pick. Sanchez doesn't need WRs! He needs to be released! This seems like as sensible a pick as any.

Code Red: Man, the hive mind is really dominating so far in this draft.

Mrs. Code Red: Courtney Upshaw, OLB, Alabama.
17.) Bengals (from Raiders)
Code Red:Stephon Gilmore, CB, South Carolina: The Bengals need a replacement for Jonathan Joseph to keep teams from exploiting the other side of the field away from Leon Hall.

Iggins!: Dre Kirkpatrick, CB, Alabama: Here's another place people say Floyd could land. I don't think Cincinnati is so smitten with him that they would risk missing out on Kirkpatrick when they pick at #21. They need corner help badly, and if Floyd is chosen before they pick again they can take any number of other WR prospects.

Mrs. Code Red: Dre Kirkpatrick, CB, Alabama

18) Chargers
Code Red: Whitney Mercilus, OLB, Illinois: Mercilus has had a good offseason and seems to have all of the physical tools necessary to provide the pass rush as a 3-4 OLB that the Chargers need.

Iggins!: Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame: I had this pick as a DE for a long, long time... but now that I think about it, why wouldn't the Chargers take Floyd? They have Malcolm Floyd and Robert Meachem at receiver, yet they have one of the best QBs in the game? This would be a smart pick.

Mrs. Code Red: Whitney Mercilus, OLB, Illinois.

19) BEARS
Code Red: Quinton Coples, DE, UNC: Coples is falling down some boards for supposedly "taking plays off." They said the same about Peppers, Mario Williams, and Haloti Ngata. With the veteran leadership on the Bears D, Lovie and Emery laugh all the way to the bank with Coples.

Iggins!: Quinton Coples, DE, UNC: The Bears will crap their pants if Coples falls here. So hopefully they buy some depends. This pick really hinges on who the Bolts take. If they take Coples, I think this is Floyd. Either way this pick is going to be a good selection for Chicago. (Though, as Code Red knows, I want Dont'a Hightower here. He's going to be the steal of this draft.)

Mrs. Code Red: Quinton Coples, DE, UNC.

20) Titans
Code Red: Dre Kirkpatrick, CB, Alabama:  Kirkpatrick appears to have fallen behind Gilmore for the #2 CB in the draft. I think the Titans will be happy he fell this far. 

Iggins!: Stephon Gilmore, CB, South Carolina: This is the replacement for Finnegan. Their run defense was much worse than their pass defense last season, but finnegan has always been a large part of the success their pass D has had.

Mrs. Code Red: Stephon Gilmore, CB, South Carolina
21) Bengals
Code Red: Luke Kuechly, LB, Boston College: After trading Keith Rivers to the Giants the Bengals will be happy to see Luke Kuechly fall to them.

Iggins!: Kendall Wright, WR, Baylor: and here's the WR pick I forecasted for the Bengals. They have one of the best young offenses out there right now, and this only makes it better. If they can steal Isiah Pead or Lamichael James in the third or fourth rounds this team will be set for years and years (Pead feels a lot like Ray Rice to me).

Mrs. Code Red: David DeCastro, OG, Stanford

22) Browns (From Falcons)
Code Red: Kendall Wright, WR, Baylor: I don't know that a deep threat has a lot of value with Colt McCoy's arm, but Wright is an explosive player and the Browns need as many of those as they can get.

Iggins!: Stephen Hill, WR, Georgia Tech: I think this will be the last chance for McCoy. The Browns will have given him all they can in this draft to succeed. If he fails, look for them to make a move for a QB next year. I feel bad for the Browns, they were all set up to take RG3, but thems the breaks, Cleveland. I agree with Joakim Noah here; your city sucks.

Mrs. Code Red: Kendall Wright, WR, Baylor.
23) Lions
Code Red: Janoris Jenkins, CB, North Alabama: The Lions really need corners and they're obviously not scared off by DOPE SMOKING CRIMINALS!

Iggins!: Cordy Glenn, OG/OT, Georgia
The Lions should draft Hightower. They really should. But, because they're the Lions, they will not. The Lions need defensive help here, but instead... they are targeting offensive linemen. Sigh.

Code Red: Have you ever even heard of Stephen Tulloch? He's not a bad player.

Mrs. Code Red: Mike Adams, OT, Ohio State.
24) Steelers
Code Red: Dont'a Hightower, ILB, Alabama: The Steelers need offensive line upgrades, but there's no way they can let Hightower go by.

Iggins!: Dont'a Hightower, ILB, Alabama: This is my worst nightmare. I remember watching the '07 draft, veins pulsing in my forehead, as Adrian Peterson fell to the Vikings at #7. It didn't make sense. Was it because of his injury? I'm asking myself the same questions with Hightower here. This is the best pure linebacker prospect since Patrick Willis, and now he will be a Steeler, which means he will probably be even better than he would have anywhere else.

Mrs. Code Red: Dont'a Hightower, ILB, Alabama.

25) Broncos
Code Red: Jerel Worthy, DT, Michigan State: With the loss of Broderick Bunkley, the Broncos need a DT. They could also use some youth at CB, but all of the best will be off the board by now.

Iggins!: Jerel Worthy, DT, Michigan State: HAHAHA jesus it's weird that the Broncos have to pick at #25. All signs point to Worthy, but there is a distinct possibility the Broncos reach on a WR. PeyPey needs someone to throw to, doesn't he? If the Broncos are smart, they'll realize that there will be WR options in the second round that will be just as good as the options here.

Mrs. Code Red: Michael Brockers, DT, LSU.
26) Texans
Code Red: Stephen Hill, WR, Georgia Tech: The Texans need someone opposite of Andre Johnson. Hill is a big upgrade (both physically and figuratively) over Kevin Walters.

Iggins!: Whitney Mercilus, DE, Illinois: For the reasons listed above I don't think the (extremely draft-smart) Texans will reach on a WR here. A replacement for Super Mario/Demeco Ryans makes sense here. If Hightower gets passed on by Pittsburgh, that's the pick, but I don't think that'll happen.

Mrs. Code Red: Stephen Hill, WR, Georgia Tech
27) Patriots (From Saints)
Code Red: Andre Branch, OLB, Clemson: Branch could play end or pass rushing OLB in their defense.

Iggins!: Shea McClellin, DE/OLB, Boise State: This guy is rising up draft boards, and he seems just the player to fit the Patriot system. This is a toss-up between him and Chandler Jones.

Mrs. Code Red: Jerel Worthy, DT, Michigan State
28) Packers
Code Red: Nick Perry, DE, USC: The Packers defense regressed big time last year, partly because Clay Matthews was their only pass-rushing threat. Perry could be converted into a pass rushing 3-4 OLB or could bulk up at 3-4 DE.

Iggins!: Chandler Jones, DE, Syracuse: What the flying fuck happened to the Packer pass defense last year? They were LAST in pass yards per game. LAST. That is clearly where they will go, and Chandler will be a huge help to the pass rush. They could also go for a safety, but I think the talent level available here at that position is roughly equal to what will be available in round 2.

Mrs. Code Red: Nick Perry, DE, USC.

29) Ravens
Code Red:  Mike Adams, OT, Ohio State: The Ravens can't possibly go another year with Bryant McKinnie protecting Joe Flacco's blindside.

Iggins!: Peter Konz, C, Wisconsin
The Konnnnnnnnz. I have nothing to contribute to this selection. It's a solid, safe pick.

Mrs. Code Red: Peter Konz, C, Wisconsin

30) 49erst

Code Red: Alshon Jeffery WR, South Carolina: The 49ers can't depend on Randy Moss. Jeffery gives them a younger wideout to pair with Mario Manningham.

Iggins!: Amini Silatolu, G/OT, Midwestern State: Crap. This could be anyone. The receivers the 49ers want are off the board, and it isn't like they need much. The closest thing to a need, after WR, is guard. You must be pretty damn good to be projected as a first rounder out of somewhere called "Midwestern State" (Flashes back to Northwestern State beating Iowa in first round of NCAA tournament)(Hangs self)(Returns to life)(Asks God why he must continue living this nightmare over and over).

Mrs. Code Red: Janoris Jenkins, CB, North Alabama.
 
31) Patriots
Code Red: Harrison Smith, FS, Notre Dame: Because they're secondary is garbage and an upgrade at any position would be acceptable.

Iggins!: Harrison Smith, FS, Notre Dame: The Patriots are trying to trade this pick, but if they keep it all signs point to this guy.

Mrs. Code Red:  Harrison Smith, FS, Notre Dame.

32) Giants
Code Red: Cordy Glenn, OG, Georgia: The Giants offensive line struggled greatly this year despite their Superbowl win. A good run-blocking interior lineman like Glenn would help.

Iggins!: Jonathan Martin, OT, Stanford: Wow. No team picking at 32 has needed so much since... well, the last time the Giants picked here. If Martin actually somehow careens down the draft board and into New York's lap, I am sure the Giants will be happier than we can possibly know, and somehow he is doing just that in my mock here.

Mrs. Code Red: Cordy Glenn, OG, Georgia


So there we go, folks. Feel free to follow along. Hope you'll join us Thursday night.